Pacific Region RCSD Projects & Activities (PAWS) Worksheet
Form used for a entering PAWS into Piko (Worsheet Version April 27 2012)
Acronym
Name/Title
Application of Latest IPCC Climate Models to Forecast Possible Marine Ecosystem Changes in the North Pacific Over the 21st Century (2 of 2)
Capability Area: Understanding Climate Variability and Change
Understanding Climate Variability and Change
Observing Systems, Data Stewardship, Data Services
Operational Products and Services
Research/Development
Historical Observations (hindcasts/climatologies)
Projections (modeling and downscaling)
Training and Capacity Building, Education, Outreach
Best Practices/Guidance
Decision Support Tools
Essential Climate Variable/Parameter
Atmospheric:
Surface (e.g., temp, precip, wind)
Upper-Air
Composition
Oceanic:
Surface (e.g., SST, SSH, salinity, ocean color)
Sub-surface (e.g., temp, salinity, nutrients, carbon, phytoplankton)
Terrestrial:
(e.g., surface water, glaciers and ice caps, land cover, biomass)
Time Frame
Seasonal (outlook)
Intra-annual to Decadal
Multi-decadal (scenarios)
Capability Area: Understanding Climate Impacts and Informing Adaptation
Understanding Climate Impacts and Informing Adaptation
Climate Impacts
Observing Systems, Data Stewardship, Data Services
Research/Development
Historical Observations (hindcasts/climatologies)
Projections (modeling and downscaling)
Climate Adaptation
Training and Capacity Building, Education, Outreach
Best Practices/Guidance
Decision Support Tools
Policies and Legislation
Assessment and Evaluation
Sector
Public Health and Safety
Fresh Water Resources
Energy
Transportation/Communication and Commerce
Community Planning and Development
Social and Cultural Resources
Agriculture and Fisheries
Recreation and Tourism
Ecosystems
Other
Status
Completed
Ongoing
Planned
Proposed
Focus Area
Fresh Water Resources and Drought
Coastal Inundation/Sea Level Rise, Extreme Weather, and Community Resilience
Marine and Terrestrial Ecosystems
Region/Locale
Central North Pacific
State of Hawaii
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands
Pacific Remote Islands
Western North Pacific
Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI)
Federated States of Micronesia (FSM)
Guam
Republic of Palau
Republic of Marshall Islands (RMI)
Other Western North Pacific
South Pacific
American Samoa
Australia
Cook Islands
Fiji
French Polynesia
Kiribati
New Zealand
Papua New Guinea (PNG)
Samoa
Solomon Islands
Tonga
Tuvalu
Vanuatu
Other South Pacific
Pacific Basin
Global
Description
Take output from the latest IPCC climate models that include a phytoplankton component and use various approaches to project possible high trophic level impacts. The approaches include: i) a biome approach; ii) driving ecosystem/fisheries models with phytoplankton output from the climate model; and iii) a size spectrum model approach.
Objectives/Outcomes
Identifying possible future ecosystem changes for resource managers.
Lead Agencies, Institutions and Organizations
NOAA Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center (PIFSC)
Contacts(names, emails)
Jeffrey Polovina, jeffery.polovina@noaa.gov Phoebe Woodworth, phoebe.woodworth@noaa.gov
Partnering Agencies, Institutions, and Organizations
Required Resources
Postdoc or funds for a postdoc.
Projected Timelines
2-3 years
Feedback Mechanisms and Evaluation Measures
Presentations and publications
Url
Worksheet
PnA_MECNP2.doc
Keywords
Understanding Climate Variability and Change Research/Development Projections (modeling and downscaling) Training and Capacity Building, Education, Outreach Surface (e.g., SST, SSH, salinity, ocean color) Multi-decadal (scenarios) Understanding Climate Impacts and Informing Adaptation Climate Impacts Projections (modeling and downscaling) Agriculture and Fisheries Ecosystems Proposed Marine and Terrestrial Ecosystems Central North Pacific Western North Pacific South Pacific