Pacific Region RCSD Projects & Activities (PAWS) Worksheet
Form used for a entering PAWS into Piko (Worsheet Version April 27 2012)
Acronym
Name/Title
Future Wind and Wave Projections for NPS and USFWS Managed Islands in the Pacific
Capability Area: Understanding Climate Variability and Change
Understanding Climate Variability and Change
Observing Systems, Data Stewardship, Data Services
Operational Products and Services
Research/Development
Historical Observations (hindcasts/climatologies)
Projections (modeling and downscaling)
Training and Capacity Building, Education, Outreach
Best Practices/Guidance
Decision Support Tools
Essential Climate Variable/Parameter
Atmospheric:
Surface (e.g., temp, precip, wind)
Upper-Air
Composition
Oceanic:
Surface (e.g., SST, SSH, salinity, ocean color)
Sub-surface (e.g., temp, salinity, nutrients, carbon, phytoplankton)
Terrestrial:
(e.g., surface water, glaciers and ice caps, land cover, biomass)
Time Frame
Seasonal (outlook)
Intra-annual to Decadal
Multi-decadal (scenarios)
Capability Area: Understanding Climate Impacts and Informing Adaptation
Understanding Climate Impacts and Informing Adaptation
Climate Impacts
Observing Systems, Data Stewardship, Data Services
Research/Development
Historical Observations (hindcasts/climatologies)
Projections (modeling and downscaling)
Climate Adaptation
Training and Capacity Building, Education, Outreach
Best Practices/Guidance
Decision Support Tools
Policies and Legislation
Assessment and Evaluation
Sector
Public Health and Safety
Fresh Water Resources
Energy
Transportation/Communication and Commerce
Community Planning and Development
Social and Cultural Resources
Agriculture and Fisheries
Recreation and Tourism
Ecosystems
Other
Status
Completed
Ongoing
Planned
Proposed
Focus Area
Fresh Water Resources and Drought
Coastal Inundation/Sea Level Rise, Extreme Weather, and Community Resilience
Marine and Terrestrial Ecosystems
Region/Locale
Central North Pacific
State of Hawaii
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands
Pacific Remote Islands
Western North Pacific
Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI)
Federated States of Micronesia (FSM)
Guam
Republic of Palau
Republic of Marshall Islands (RMI)
Other Western North Pacific
South Pacific
American Samoa
Australia
Cook Islands
Fiji
French Polynesia
Kiribati
New Zealand
Papua New Guinea (PNG)
Samoa
Solomon Islands
Tonga
Tuvalu
Vanuatu
Other South Pacific
Pacific Basin
Global
Description
The goal of this proposed effort is to use GCM and coupled numerical wave model output to provide 3-hourly data and statistical measures (mean and top 5% values) of wave height, wave period, wave direction, wind speed, and wind direction for 15 DOI-managed coastal assets (parks and refuges) in the Pacific Ocean for the recent past (1996-2005) and future projections (2026-2045 and 2085-2100). These data are needed as baseline physical information for these DOI-managed assets, as winds and waves are the dominant spatially- and temporally-varying processes that influence coastal morphology and ecosystem structure, and can impact coastal infrastructure, natural and cultural resources, and coastal-related economic activities (e.g., fishing and tourism).
Objectives/Outcomes
This proposed effort would generate two general types of products: mean and extreme (top 5%) monthly statistics for wave height, wave period, wave direction, wind speed, and wind direction for each of the 15 study locations (Niihau, Hawaii, Midway Atoll, Guam, Saipan, American Samoa, Kwajalein, Rose Atoll, Baker Island, Howland Island, Jarvis Island, Johnston Atoll, Kingman Reef, Palmyra Atoll, and Wake Atoll. These statistics would be generated for the recent past and the two future emission scenarios for each of the two future time periods, for a total of 5 combinations of time frames and emission scenarios (1996-2005, 2026-2045@RCP4.5, 2026-2045@RCP8.5, 2085-2100@RCP4.5, 2085-2100@RCP8.5). The final peer-reviewed USGS report will be available online and maintained by the USGS Publications Warehouse; this report will provide data statistics in text, tabular, and graphical formats. This report will be disseminated not only to PICCC and PICSC, but also NPS, USFWS, DOD, and other federal, state, and local resource managers for the 15 study areas. The 3-hourly time-series data for the study areas will be made available upon request.
Lead Agencies, Institutions and Organizations
U.S. Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center
Contacts(names, emails)
Curt D. Storlazzi, cstorlazzi@usgs.gov Li H. Erikson, lerikson@usgs.gov
Partnering Agencies, Institutions, and Organizations
University of California at Santa Cruz - Ocean Sciences Department, PICCC, PI-CSC
Required Resources
1) Ph.D. student support (to help conduct analyses and do visualization); 2) Two 8-core PC computers to add to USGS-PCMSC numerical modeling cluster; 3) USGS Open-File Report EPN publication charges 4) Travel for briefing of results
Projected Timelines
See table embedded in full worksheet.
Feedback Mechanisms and Evaluation Measures
Url
Worksheet
PnA_FWWP.doc
Keywords
Understanding Climate Variability and Change Research/Development Historical Observations (hindcasts/climatologies) Projections (modeling and downscaling) Seasonal (outlook) Intra-annual to Decadal Multi-decadal (scenarios) Surface (e.g., temp, precip, wind) Surface (e.g., SST, SSH, salinity, ocean color) Ongoing Coastal Inundation/Sea Level Rise, Extreme Weather, and Community Resilience Western North Pacific Guam Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI) Federated States of Micronesia (FSM) Central North Pacific State of Hawaii Northwestern Hawaiian Islands Pacific Remote Islands American Samoa South Pacific Pacific Basin